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5/12 Torchbearer Weekly Policy Update

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  • Fed holds rates steady amid trade tensions
  • ACLU challenges Indiana's new trustee appointment law
  • Senators celebrate National Small Business Week
  • Indianapolis secures $50M for road repairs
  • Indiana's student ID voting ban faces legal challenge
  • CBO warns of Medicaid cuts impact
  • Fed maintains cautious stance amid solid job market
  • Share the Torchbearer Newsletter with Your Network!
  • Important Dates

Fed holds rates steady amid trade tensions

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The Federal Reserve's interest rate committee maintained rates at 4.25% to 4.5%, despite President Trump's push for cuts.

Why it matters: The decision reflects confidence in the U.S. economy but highlights the uncertainty from ongoing trade tensions with China. - The labor market remains robust, and inflation is low, giving the Fed room to wait and see how trade policies unfold. - Trump's trade war with China adds complexity, influencing both market expectations and policy decisions.

The big picture: Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasizes that the economy's "solid fundamentals" allow for patience in monetary policy adjustments. - This stance comes as Fed officials weigh the impacts of tariffs and potential trade agreements.

What's next: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is set to meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, aiming to de-escalate trade tensions. - Any progress in these talks could influence future Fed decisions and provide relief to markets.

ACLU challenges Indiana's new trustee appointment law

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BLOOMINGTON, Ind. — The ACLU of Indiana has filed a lawsuit to block a new state law granting Gov. Mike Braun full control over Indiana University's board of trustees. The law alters trustee selection, previously shared with alumni.

Why it matters: The provision, enacted without public input, represents a shift in governance that could undermine alumni influence at IU. This change has sparked legal challenges on grounds of "special legislation," which could set a precedent for other universities.

The big picture: Alumni had historically elected a portion of the IU board, a practice now at risk. The ACLU's legal director argues that the change singles out IU unfairly compared to other public universities in the state.

What’s next: The lawsuit seeks a preliminary injunction to halt the law's implementation, with court proceedings expected to follow. The outcome could influence governance structures at other institutions. (Inside Indiana Business)

Senators celebrate National Small Business Week

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WASHINGTON — Senators Todd Young and Joni Ernst, alongside 40 Senate Republicans, introduced a resolution to declare May 4-10, 2025, as National Small Business Week.

Why it matters: This resolution highlights the vital role small businesses play in the U.S. economy, fostering growth and creating jobs. Small business owners contribute significantly to local economies and embody the entrepreneurial spirit across America.

The big picture: Senator Young, drawing from his experience as the son of a small business owner, emphasizes the importance of supporting policies that enable small businesses to thrive. Senator Ernst celebrates the resilience of small businesses, underscoring their cultural and economic impact on both urban and rural communities.

What's next: The resolution serves as a call to action for continued advocacy and policy support for small business owners nationwide. - Lawmakers aim to ensure these entrepreneurs have champions in Washington to promote their success and sustainability. (Read More Here)

Indianapolis secures $50M for road repairs

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Beginning in 2027, Indianapolis will receive an additional $50 million annually for two years to address its underfunded roads, thanks to House Bill 1461.

Why it matters: This funding is a significant boost for the city’s infrastructure, addressing long-standing disparities in road maintenance. Mayor Joe Hogsett lauds the funding as the most substantial state investment in decades. However, the city must match these funds with new, non-infrastructure-related revenue, posing a fiscal challenge.

The big picture: The funds target secondary road repairs, but restrictions prevent their use for projects like road diets, sparking debate. The legislation reflects broader tensions between fiscal responsibility and urban development trends. - Indianapolis continues to prioritize Vision Zero initiatives despite these funding limitations.

What's next: City officials are working to identify matching funds and anticipate the financial impact of Senate Bill 1’s property tax cuts. - The first phase of the Madison Avenue road diet is set to begin, focusing on reducing road fatalities. (IBJ)

Indiana's student ID voting ban faces legal challenge

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Indiana Secretary of State Diego Morales celebrates a new student ID voting ban, despite a lawsuit challenging its constitutionality.

Why it matters: The ban, effective July 1, changes a longstanding policy allowing student IDs as voter identification, potentially disenfranchising young voters. The ACLU argues the ban unfairly targets students and violates the 26th Amendment.

The big picture: Senate Enrolled Act 10 aims to standardize ID security but faces backlash for disproportionately affecting student voters. Plaintiffs claim the law imposes unnecessary burdens without sufficient justification.

What's next: The lawsuit seeks to halt the law's implementation, with court proceedings expected. State officials continue to defend the ban, citing election integrity concerns. (Indiana Capital Chronicle)

CBO warns of Medicaid cuts impact

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The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) warns that proposed Medicaid cuts could force states to increase spending or reduce benefits, potentially leaving millions without insurance.

Why it matters: The changes could lead to significant reductions in Medicaid enrollment and increased uninsured rates. - States may struggle to replace lost federal funding, impacting healthcare providers and beneficiaries.

The big picture: Proposed cuts are part of a broader GOP legislative package aimed at reducing federal spending and extending the 2017 tax law. The package could save billions but at the cost of reduced healthcare access for lower-income Americans.

What's next: Lawmakers are set to debate these proposals, with Democrats warning of the potential harm to millions of Americans reliant on Medicaid. The outcome could reshape healthcare funding and access across the nation. (Indiana Capital Chronicle)

Fed maintains cautious stance amid solid job market

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The big takeaway from Federal Reserve Chair Powell's news conference last week is this: The Fed thinks the job market is still quite solid and is nowhere close to seeing enough evidence of a downturn to preemptively cut rates.

Why it matters: Despite President Trump's calls to enact preemptive interest rate cuts, Powell and his colleagues see an economy that is basically in balance as the trade shock begins to have its effects. It implies there is a high bar for making a rate move at the Fed's next policy meeting in mid-June, given a fairly limited set of new information about underlying economic conditions between now and then. In effect, the central bank isn't going to try to get ahead of the curve when it lacks confidence in which way the road is turning — toward higher inflation or higher unemployment.

What they're saying: "It's not a situation where we can be preemptive, because we actually don't know what the right response to the data will be until we see more data," Powell said. He contrasted this moment with 2019, when the Fed cut interest rates three times as a preemptive move. The downshift in the economic data was mild, and inflation then was also below the central bank's 2% target.

The bottom line: Don't expect interest rate cuts unless and until the unemployment rate or other job market indicators get a lot worse, and fast. (Axios)

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Important Dates:

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We anticipate Legislative Council to meet in late May/early June to provide topics for interim study committees. We will report back any updates as they become public.